If anything is sacred, the human body is sacred.
― Walt Whitman
How should we define victory in the war on the pandemic? My vision may surprise you. I think our objective should be not dying. Death rates should be our success metric, and the preservation of our institutions and freedoms our goal. We can accomplish this by making smart individual decisions, not sweeping collective ones. We cannot allow our society to be fractured into camps of the vaccinated and unvaccinated.
The universal vaccination mandates sweeping across our nation now are more dangerous than the current wave of SARS-CoV-2 infections. Don’t believe me? Check out the CDC’s COVID Data Tracker. Deaths from COVID-19 are at their lowest levels since the pandemic began. Yet on pain of job loss, we are pushing vaccines into the arms of our young who have the most to lose and least to gain.
Don’t get me wrong. Vaccination is an important tool in our effort to save people from dying of COVID-19. Those at greatest risk—the old, the obese, the diabetics—should strongly consider vaccination for their own safety. Vaccines also reduce the spread of COVID-19 within a community. When vaccines became available in late December, community infection rates declined as vaccination rates went up. But that doesn’t mean that vaccination is in the best interest of every individual.
Wait, I hear you say, we must vaccinate everybody to contain breakthrough and stop the spread of the virus. Especially hospital workers—I want to know that people taking care of me are vaccinated so they won’t make me sick. Nice theory, but where’s the data that supports the idea that vaccinated people can’t make you sick, that vaccines contain breakthrough and stop the spread of the disease? I’ve looked; I can’t find it. If you have it, please share it with me.
I see data that supports the opposite theory. In last Friday’s Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR), the CDC reported a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in a highly vaccinated community. Some were shocked to learn that three-quarters of these cases occurred in fully vaccinated individuals, that the viral loads between vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals were identical, and that four out of five patients sick enough to be hospitalized were fully vaccinated. This report supports one of the points made last week: vaccination doesn’t prevent COVID-19. Breakthrough cases occur, and the vaccinated can spread the virus. Universal vaccination will fail as a containment strategy.
But, you persist, we have to vaccinate everybody before new variants emerge that will be even more dangerous. After all, you say, 90% of the virus in the reported outbreak were delta variant. True, this outbreak was mostly delta variant, but delta variant is now the dominant variant in the U. S. because of its higher transmissibility, just like alpha variant replaced original SARS-CoV-2 earlier in the year. Where is the evidence that universal vaccination prevents formation of more dangerous variants? Again, I’ve looked, and I don’t find it. If you have it, please share it with me.
Infectious disease orthodoxy says the opposite. Indiscriminate use of anti-biologic agents pressure pathogens to mutate, increasing their virulence. Doctors are reprimanded for treating viral illnesses with antibacterial agents (“antibiotics”) because they have potential for more harm than good. The same is true for vaccines designed to prevent infections by viruses that easily mutate. That’s one reason we don’t have vaccines for the common cold—the target moves too quickly, and infection is not that dangerous to most people. Universal vaccination will fail to prevent emergence of variants.
If universal vaccination becomes our objective in the war against the pandemic, deaths may increase, surges may continue, and more dangerous variants may emerge, but won’t we feel good about our vaccination rates? The pandemic has an enemy; it’s not the unvaccinated.
There is another way. Allow doctors to make individualized decisions for treatment and vaccination in the best interest of each patient. If we do all we can to help those at risk, deaths will continue to go down. The virus may never go away, but we can learn to live with it. We can also preserve our institutions and freedoms, and we can stop dividing people. We can stay alive.